18.09.2022 - 20:30
Stadium : Estadio Departamental Libertad (San Juan de Pasto)
Finished
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior happens on the 18th of September at 20:30 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Colombia Categoria Primera A. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Deportivo Pasto has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches
🔥 Junior has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 8 matches
🔥 Junior hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Deportivo Pasto
🔥 Deportivo Pasto and Junior average 2.15 goals scored per match
Deportivo Pasto | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 12 |
| 0.97 | Goal Scored | 1.3 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 40% | % Over 2.5 | 28% |
| 39% | % BTTS | 54% |
| 1.37 | xG | 1.35 |
| 1.54 | xGA | 1.09 |
Deportivo Pasto | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Standings | 20 |
| 1.47 | Goal Scored | 0.56 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 40% | % Over 2.5 | 28% |
| 53% | % BTTS | 44% |
| 1.51 | xG | 1.23 |
| 1.43 | xGA | 1.26 |
The home team is the 16th best attack in the Categoria Primera A. Deportivo Pasto has found the back of the opposition’s net 30 times in the 31 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 0.97 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Junior has averaged 1.3 goals scored per match in this season of the Categoria Primera A. The team has gotten 48 goals in 37 matches so far this season, making it the 5th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1 goals conceded per match, Deportivo Pasto has conceded 31 times in the 31 matches played so far this season of the Categoria Primera A. This makes this match’s home team the 4th defence in the competition.
With 40 goals conceded in the 37 matches it played in the Categoria Primera A, Junior is the 9th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.08 goals conceded per match.
In the 31 matches it played this season, Deportivo Pasto has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 40% of the times, so 12 of those matches.
The Categoria Primera A averages 40% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Junior visits Deportivo Pasto having finished 28% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 39% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Deportivo Pasto?
If we look at Junior’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 54% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Deportivo Pasto’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.38 expected goals per match in the Categoria Primera A.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.35 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Deportivo Pasto gets to this event with 1.54 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Junior is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.08 goals conceded on average, against 1.09 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Categoria Primera A and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Deportivo Pasto vs Junior, for the matchday 12 of the Categoria Primera A, taking place on the 18th of September at 20:30.
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