30.03.2024 - 00:00
Stadium : Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)
Finished
The Mexico Ascenso MX is back on 30th of March at 00:00 with Celaya hosting Tlaxcala and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Celaya vs Tlaxcala. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Tlaxcala has had Over 9.5 Corners in its last 4 matches
🔥 Tlaxcala hasn’t won in its last 5 matches
🔥 The past 3 matches between Celaya and Tlaxcala have ended with under 9.5 Corners
🔥 Celaya hasn’t lost any of its past 7 matches against Tlaxcala
🔥 Celaya and Tlaxcala average 2.71 goals scored per match
Celaya | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standings | 12 |
| 1.28 | Goal Scored | 0.88 |
| 0.96 | Goals Conceded | 1.92 |
| 36% | % Over 2.5 | 60% |
| 52% | % BTTS | 60% |
| 1.87 | xG | 1.31 |
| 1.32 | xGA | 1.54 |
Celaya | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 13 |
| 1.42 | Goal Scored | 0.92 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 2.08 |
| 36% | % Over 2.5 | 60% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 75% |
| 2.24 | xG | 1.1 |
| 1.29 | xGA | 1.78 |
Celaya averages 1.28 goals scored per match in this season’s Ascenso MX. The home team has scored 32 times in the 25 matches played so far this year for this competition. Celaya is, as such, the 9th best attack in this season of the Ascenso MX.
The 15th best attack of the Ascenso MX has scored 22 goals in 25 matches played so far this season. Tlaxcala averages, as such, 0.88 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 25 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Celaya 24 times. This means that Celaya is the 3rd best defence in this season’s Ascenso MX.
In the 25 matches it has played in the Ascenso MX, Tlaxcala has conceded 48 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.92 goals per match, making it the 13th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Celaya has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 36% of the matches it played so far in the Ascenso MX this season.
Tlaxcala has, until today, finished 60% of the matches of this season’s Ascenso MX with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 15 matches out of 25, compared with the league average of 53%.
Out of the 25 matches that Celaya has taken part in this season, 13 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Tlaxcala, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 15 occasions out of the 25 times it played for the Ascenso MX this season.
We mentioned earlier that Celaya averages 1.28 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.87 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Tlaxcala is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.31 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.32 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.54 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Tlaxcala wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Celaya vs Tlaxcala.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Celaya vs Tlaxcala, for the matchday 13 of the Ascenso MX.
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