25.04.2024 - 01:00
Stadium : Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)
Finished
The Mexico Ascenso MX is back on 25th of April at 01:00 with Celaya hosting Tapatío and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Celaya vs Tapatío. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Celaya hasn’t won in its last 3 matches
🔥 Celaya has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches
🔥 Celaya has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches against Tapatío
🔥 Tapatío hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Celaya
🔥 Celaya and Tapatío average 2.39 goals scored per match
Celaya | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standings | 4 |
| 1.29 | Goal Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.04 | Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 39% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 57% | % BTTS | 54% |
| 1.78 | xG | 1.56 |
| 1.34 | xGA | 1.38 |
Celaya | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 2 |
| 1.36 | Goal Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.07 | Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 39% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 57% | % BTTS | 64% |
| 2.14 | xG | 1.44 |
| 1.34 | xGA | 1.39 |
Celaya averages 1.29 goals scored per match in this season’s Ascenso MX. The home team has scored 36 times in the 28 matches played so far this year for this competition. Celaya is, as such, the 11th best attack in this season of the Ascenso MX.
The 7th best attack of the Ascenso MX has scored 38 goals in 28 matches played so far this season. Tapatío averages, as such, 1.36 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 28 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Celaya 29 times. This means that Celaya is the 3rd best defence in this season’s Ascenso MX.
In the 28 matches it has played in the Ascenso MX, Tapatío has conceded 31 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.11 goals per match, making it the 5th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Celaya has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 39% of the matches it played so far in the Ascenso MX this season.
Tapatío has, until today, finished 50% of the matches of this season’s Ascenso MX with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 14 matches out of 28, compared with the league average of 54%.
Out of the 28 matches that Celaya has taken part in this season, 16 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Tapatío, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 15.12 occasions out of the 28 times it played for the Ascenso MX this season.
We mentioned earlier that Celaya averages 1.29 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.78 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Tapatío is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.56 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.34 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.38 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Tapatío wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Celaya vs Tapatío.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Celaya vs Tapatío, for the matchday 29 of the Ascenso MX.
Switch to
Would you like to change to ?
Login or Signup to add to favourites
You can login with social media
Not registered yet? Create an Account.
