Predictions for Cambridge United vs Derby County

Cambridge United vs Derby County Betting Tips: 20/04/2024 - Matchday 45 - England EFL League One

Cambridge United vs Derby County happens on the 20th of April at 14:00 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the England EFL League One. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Cambridge United vs Derby County. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!

🔥 Cambridge United has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 5 matches

🔥 Cambridge United has conceded at least a goal in its last 4 matches

🔥 The past 3 matches between Cambridge United and Derby County have ended with under 2.5 goals

🔥 Derby County hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Cambridge United

🔥 Cambridge United and Derby County average 2.28 goals scored per match

Cambridge United		Derby County
19	Standings	2
0.88	Goal Scored	1.7
1.37	Goals Conceded	0.84
42%	% Over 2.5	57%
37%	% BTTS	48%
0.88	xG	1.42
1.39	xGA	1.03

Cambridge United		Derby County
17	Standings	3
1	Goal Scored	1.64
1.05	Goals Conceded	0.86
42%	% Over 2.5	57%
43%	% BTTS	41%
0.93	xG	1.38
1.24	xGA	1.15

Cambridge United - Previous Results

Overall
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Derby County - Previous Results

Overall
Away

Summary

Goal Scored

The home team is the 21th best attack in the EFL League One. Cambridge United has found the back of the opposition’s net 38 times in the 43 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 0.88 goals scored per match.

Only time will tell, but so far, Derby County has averaged 1.7 goals scored per match in this season of the EFL League One. The team has gotten 75 goals in 44 matches so far this season, making it the 6th best attacking team in this competition.

Goals Conceded

Averaging 1.37 goals conceded per match, Cambridge United has conceded 59 times in the 43 matches played so far this season of the EFL League One. This makes this match’s home team the 14th defence in the competition.

With 37 goals conceded in the 44 matches it played in the EFL League One, Derby County is the 1st best defence in the competition, since it averages 0.84 goals conceded per match.

% Over 2.5

In the 43 matches it played this season, Cambridge United has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 42% of the times, so 18 of those matches.

The EFL League One averages 50% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. The Rams visits Cambridge United having finished 57% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 37% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Cambridge United?

If we look at Derby County’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 48% of them have ended with a BTTS.

Expected Goals (xG)

It is no question that Cambridge United’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 0.88 expected goals per match in the EFL League One.

Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.42 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Cambridge United gets to this event with 1.39 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.

Derby County is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 0.84 goals conceded on average, against 1.03 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?

Predictions

If you are looking for the prediction for Cambridge United vs Derby County, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.

APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the EFL League One and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.

As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Cambridge United vs Derby County, for the matchday 45 of the EFL League One, taking place on the 20th of April at 14:00.