09.09.2022 - 14:30
Stadium : Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora)
Finished
The Bulgaria First League is back on 9th of September at 14:30 with Beroe hosting Spartak Varna and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Beroe vs Spartak Varna. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Spartak Varna hasn’t won in its last 9 matches
🔥 Spartak Varna has lost its last 6 matches
🔥 Beroe and Spartak Varna average 3.1 goals scored per match
Beroe | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Standings | 16 |
| 0.89 | Goal Scored | 0.44 |
| 2 | Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
| 20% | % Over 2.5 | 75% |
| 56% | % BTTS | 33% |
| 1.13 | xG | 1.13 |
| 1.62 | xGA | 2.14 |
Beroe | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 16 |
| 1.2 | Goal Scored | 0.5 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 3.5 |
| 20% | % Over 2.5 | 75% |
| 60% | % BTTS | 25% |
| 1.12 | xG | 0.92 |
| 1.48 | xGA | 2.7 |
Beroe averages 0.89 goals scored per match in this season’s First League. The home team has scored 8 times in the 9 matches played so far this year for this competition. Beroe is, as such, the 12th best attack in this season of the First League.
The 15th best attack of the First League has scored 4 goals in 9 matches played so far this season. Spartak Varna averages, as such, 0.44 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 9 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Beroe 18 times. This means that Beroe is the 3rd best defence in this season’s First League.
In the 9 matches it has played in the First League, Spartak Varna has conceded 21 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 2.33 goals per match, making it the 1st team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Beroe has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 20% of the matches it played so far in the First League this season.
Spartak Varna has, until today, finished 75% of the matches of this season’s First League with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 7 matches out of 9, compared with the league average of 45%.
Out of the 9 matches that Beroe has taken part in this season, 5 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Spartak Varna, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 2.97 occasions out of the 9 times it played for the First League this season.
We mentioned earlier that Beroe averages 0.89 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.13 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Spartak Varna is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.13 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.62 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 2.14 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Spartak Varna wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Beroe vs Spartak Varna.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Beroe vs Spartak Varna, for the matchday 10 of the First League.
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