28.01.2023 - 19:30
Stadium : St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Finished
The Switzerland Super League is back on 28th of January at 19:30 with Basel hosting Luzern and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Basel vs Luzern. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Basel has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Luzern hasn’t won in its last 4 matches
🔥 Basel has won the last 4 matches against Luzern
🔥 Basel hasn’t lost any of its past 10 matches against Luzern
🔥 Basel and Luzern average 2.76 goals scored per match
Basel | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standings | 6 |
| 1.29 | Goal Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.06 | Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 35% | % Over 2.5 | 53% |
| 53% | % BTTS | 59% |
| 1.78 | xG | 1.86 |
| 1.49 | xGA | 1.73 |
Basel | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standings | 4 |
| 1.5 | Goal Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.88 | Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 35% | % Over 2.5 | 53% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 50% |
| 2.02 | xG | 1.69 |
| 1.24 | xGA | 1.74 |
Basel averages 1.29 goals scored per match in this season’s Super League. The home team has scored 22 times in the 17 matches played so far this year for this competition. Basel is, as such, the 7th best attack in this season of the Super League.
The 5th best attack of the Super League has scored 26 goals in 17 matches played so far this season. Luzern averages, as such, 1.53 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 17 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Basel 18 times. This means that Basel is the 2nd best defence in this season’s Super League.
In the 17 matches it has played in the Super League, Luzern has conceded 26 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.53 goals per match, making it the 5th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Basel has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 35% of the matches it played so far in the Super League this season.
Luzern has, until today, finished 53% of the matches of this season’s Super League with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 9 matches out of 17, compared with the league average of 55%.
Out of the 17 matches that Basel has taken part in this season, 9 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Luzern, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 10.03 occasions out of the 17 times it played for the Super League this season.
We mentioned earlier that Basel averages 1.29 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.78 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Luzern is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.86 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.49 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.73 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Luzern wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Basel vs Luzern.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Basel vs Luzern, for the matchday 18 of the Super League.
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