Predictions for Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Betting Tips: 28/04/2024 - Matchday 19 - Colombia Categoria Primera A

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima happens on the 28th of April at 00:00 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Colombia Categoria Primera A. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!

🔥 Atlético Nacional hasn’t won in its last 4 matches

🔥 Atlético Nacional has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 3 matches

🔥 The past 5 matches between Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima have ended with over 2.5 goals

🔥 The past 3 matches between Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima have ended with over 3.5 goals

🔥 Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima average 2.1 goals scored per match

Atlético Nacional		Deportes Tolima
13	Standings	1
1	Goal Scored	1.67
1.06	Goals Conceded	0.83
39%	% Over 2.5	50%
39%	% BTTS	67%
1.56	xG	1.42
1.16	xGA	1.3

Atlético Nacional		Deportes Tolima
15	Standings	1
1	Goal Scored	1.67
0.75	Goals Conceded	0.78
39%	% Over 2.5	50%
38%	% BTTS	67%
1.77	xG	1.3
0.95	xGA	1.56

Atlético Nacional - Previous Results

Overall
Home

Deportes Tolima - Previous Results

Overall
Away

Summary

Goal Scored

The home team is the 13th best attack in the Categoria Primera A. Atlético Nacional has found the back of the opposition’s net 18 times in the 18 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1 goals scored per match.

Only time will tell, but so far, Deportes Tolima has averaged 1.67 goals scored per match in this season of the Categoria Primera A. The team has gotten 30 goals in 18 matches so far this season, making it the 1st best attacking team in this competition.

Goals Conceded

Averaging 1.06 goals conceded per match, Atlético Nacional has conceded 19 times in the 18 matches played so far this season of the Categoria Primera A. This makes this match’s home team the 9th defence in the competition.

With 15 goals conceded in the 18 matches it played in the Categoria Primera A, Deportes Tolima is the 4th best defence in the competition, since it averages 0.83 goals conceded per match.

% Over 2.5

In the 18 matches it played this season, Atlético Nacional has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 39% of the times, so 7 of those matches.

The Categoria Primera A averages 38% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. El Vinotinto y Oro visits Atlético Nacional having finished 50% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 39% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Atlético Nacional?

If we look at Deportes Tolima’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 67% of them have ended with a BTTS.

Expected Goals (xG)

It is no question that Atlético Nacional’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.56 expected goals per match in the Categoria Primera A.

Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.42 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Atlético Nacional gets to this event with 1.16 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.

Deportes Tolima is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 0.83 goals conceded on average, against 1.3 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?

Predictions

If you are looking for the prediction for Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.

APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Categoria Primera A and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.

As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima, for the matchday 19 of the Categoria Primera A, taking place on the 28th of April at 00:00.