18.03.2023 - 15:00
Stadium : Villa Park (Birmingham)
Finished
Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth happens on the 18th of March at 15:00 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the England Premier League. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Aston Villa has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 3 matches
🔥 Aston Villa hasn’t lost in its last 3 matches
🔥 Aston Villa has conceded at least a goal in its last 4 matches against Bournemouth
🔥 Bournemouth has won the last 4 matches against Aston Villa
🔥 Aston Villa and Bournemouth average 3.31 goals scored per match
Aston Villa | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Standings | 18 |
| 1.23 | Goal Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.5 | Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 46% |
| 54% | % BTTS | 38% |
| 1.39 | xG | 0.88 |
| 1.54 | xGA | 2 |
Aston Villa | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 17 |
| 1.54 | Goal Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.46 | Goals Conceded | 2.69 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 46% |
| 62% | % BTTS | 38% |
| 1.48 | xG | 0.79 |
| 1.41 | xGA | 2.2 |
The home team is the 11th best attack in the Premier League. Aston Villa has found the back of the opposition’s net 32 times in the 26 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.23 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, AFC Bournemouth has averaged 0.96 goals scored per match in this season of the Premier League. The team has gotten 25 goals in 26 matches so far this season, making it the 14th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1.5 goals conceded per match, The Villans has conceded 39 times in the 26 matches played so far this season of the Premier League. This makes this match’s home team the 15th defence in the competition.
With 51 goals conceded in the 26 matches it played in the Premier League, AFC Bournemouth is the 20th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.96 goals conceded per match.
In the 26 matches it played this season, Aston Villa has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 50% of the times, so 13 of those matches.
The Premier League averages 49% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. The Cherries visits Aston Villa having finished 46% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 54% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on The Villa?
If we look at AFC Bournemouth’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 38% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Aston Villa’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.39 expected goals per match in the Premier League.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 0.88 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Aston Villa gets to this event with 1.54 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
AFC Bournemouth is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.96 goals conceded on average, against 2 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Premier League and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth, for the matchday 28 of the Premier League, taking place on the 18th of March at 15:00.
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