04.03.2023 - 15:15
Stadium : Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
Finished
The Spain La Liga is back on 4th of March at 15:15 with Almería hosting Villarreal and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Almería vs Villarreal. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Villarreal has conceded at least a goal in its last 5 matches
🔥 The past 3 matches between Almería and Villarreal have ended with over 2.5 goals
🔥 Almería has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches against Villarreal
🔥 Almería and Villarreal average 2.46 goals scored per match
Almería | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Standings | 7 |
| 1.22 | Goal Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.74 | Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 52% | % Over 2.5 | 39% |
| 61% | % BTTS | 35% |
| 1.25 | xG | 1.56 |
| 1.78 | xGA | 1.52 |
Almería | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Standings | 10 |
| 1.67 | Goal Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.25 | Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 52% | % Over 2.5 | 39% |
| 67% | % BTTS | 25% |
| 1.32 | xG | 1.3 |
| 1.77 | xGA | 1.76 |
Almería averages 1.22 goals scored per match in this season’s La Liga. The home team has scored 28 times in the 23 matches played so far this year for this competition. Almería is, as such, the 10th best attack in this season of the La Liga.
The 14th best attack of the La Liga has scored 26 goals in 23 matches played so far this season. Villarreal averages, as such, 1.13 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 23 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Almería 40 times. This means that Almería is the 19th best defence in this season’s La Liga.
In the 23 matches it has played in the La Liga, Villarreal has conceded 23 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1 goals per match, making it the 4th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Almería has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 52% of the matches it played so far in the La Liga this season.
Villarreal has, until today, finished 39% of the matches of this season’s La Liga with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 9 matches out of 23, compared with the league average of 44%.
Out of the 23 matches that Almería has taken part in this season, 14 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Villarreal, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 8.05 occasions out of the 23 times it played for the La Liga this season.
We mentioned earlier that Almería averages 1.22 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.25 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Villarreal is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.56 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.78 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.52 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Villarreal wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Almería vs Villarreal.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Almería vs Villarreal, for the matchday 24 of the La Liga.
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