The kick off for the match between Venados and Morelia will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Friday, 09/05 - at the Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero. This clash of the 2025/26 Ascenso MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Venados vs Morelia. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Venados vs Morelia
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Venados preview
Venados has played 5 matches in the Ascenso MX so far, with 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses. This results in an average of 0.8 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses. Venados's attack has scored 10 goals, 10 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2 goals per league match and 2 goals per match across the entire season.
Juan José Calero Sierra is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Wiliam Oswaldo Guzmán Aguilar leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Venados has conceded 15 goals in the league (an average of 3) and 15 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 3 over 5 matches).
Morelia preview
In 4 Ascenso MX matches, Morelia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 1.75 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 2 wins in 4 matches. The team has scored 7 goals, 7 of them in the Ascenso MX (an average of 1.75 goals per match), with José Alonso Flores Ramírez being the team's top scorer with 3 goals and Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores providing 3 assists.
Defensively, Morelia has conceded 7 goals in the league and 7 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.75 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Venados vs Morelia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Venados
Mexico - Ascenso MX
Away Team
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W D |
1.75 |
| Home | W W |
3 |
| Away | L D |
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 1.75 | 3 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 20% | 100% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.27 | 1.36 | 1.18 |
|
xGA
|
1.29 | 1.17 | 1.41 |
Access all match stats for Venados vs Morelia
Where to watch Venados vs Morelia live?
Check out the live stream of Venados vs Morelia below and follow the match in real time.
