Corner Betting as a Favourite Betting Market

Corner betting in football is a favourite market, especially for experienced bettors who love to look for matches' patterns and reactions.

The basics are easy, as favourite teams that are unexpectedly losing by a goal tend to act desperately to regain control of the game and score. This situation usually triggers many factors that cause corner kicks.

This article will show you the basics and effective techniques that are also applied with discipline and precision with a few pro tips.

What Do The Numbers Mean?

Based on the numbers behind corners collected by Pinnacle Sports, these are the main drivers behind corner kicks:

  • Teams win more corners when losing against equally strong opponents.
  • The most favourite teams averagely win six corners when they win and 8 when they lose.
  • When favourite teams spend a lot of time attacking but fail to score, their number of corners tend to rise.
  • The concessions of another corner likely defend corners.

Next, let's look at the formula to determine the corners won by the side:

Corner Proportions

During a game where it's expected to have 2.6 goals on average, with the favourite team scoring two goals, this team should win 67% of the overall corners within the game.

Corner Betting Tips

The tempo and game pressure strategies greatly influence the number of corner kicks that can occur within a game. So, should you use pre-match or in-play corner football betting?

Pre-Match Bets

The pros love to go with in-plays, but pre-match bets also provide odds up to 3.00 for corner bets, while in-play markets rarely even go beyond evens. The challenge in pre-match is figuring out the tempo and pressure in the game. But all you need is a quick look at the common playing tactics, the striker's playing style and the team's pressure to win the game due to the prestigious championship. All these factors can determine the number of corners that will be over or under for a specific team. Our tip is to keep the odds over the evens with pre-matched bets.

Corner Market Timing

The odds can go up to 6.00 when defining if a team is likely to win corners within a 10-to-15-minute time frame. It's a hard prediction for pre-match, but if you follow a specific team for the whole season and find a pattern in their playing style, you'll end up with provoking odds.

Corners and Cards

This strategy can significantly increase your paying odds, as bookies will offer around 5.00 on over/under corners and over/under cards.

Pressure Points in Corner Betting

This is a favourite strategy for In-play bettors in corner betting. When the pressure to win is high due to championship titles or qualifier points, take the Over in-Play. This applies when the losing team controls the ball with one goal against and only a few minutes left for the match.

The situation here is that the losing team has to risk it all to score a goal within a limited time. More corners will occur as the chances of their goals will end in quick but less effective shots that are deflected. Because of this, the winning side will also end up tired and nervous, which causes most of the deflections to end up as corner kicks instead of good takeovers.

Staking the Under Corner Strategy

For experienced bettors, the in-play market is always the best. But it's not as straightforward or as rewarding as the odds are usually below the evens.

This tactic may seem easy; watch the match up to the pressure to deliver results, like if the favourite side is a goal behind during the last few minutes of the first or second half.

This almost always leads the losing team to unleash a series of attacks while the winning side tends to pull back and prepare for a flood of attacks from the long distant shots.

This situation is the perfect setup for many corner kick opportunities, but experienced bettors will stay out of staking an Over at this point. The odds will end up unfavourable as the sportsbook has to lower the corner Overs prices. After five to ten minutes of intense play from both teams, they tend to play securely, with their main focus is to control the ball and to anticipate any mistakes.

Corner Betting Strategy from The Pro

Let's look at some pro tips from Greg Gordon, a journalist who has written for the Financial Times and conducts player scouting and football betting consultancy for sportsbooks.

He stated that the conditions below would need to take place before taking the inplay:

  1. A high pace in the game with the ball switching to the wide.
  2. Attackers receive the ball close to the byline instead of cutting inside.
  3. Attacks from the favourite but losing side are quickly passing and aggressive against a parked defence that references the man.
  4. Noisy crowds close to the pitch instead of behind a running track (this applies to top European leagues like the Spanish League and the EPL).

Stake around the 55-60 minute mark, but if there's a goal way before it reaches the bet conditions, then it's best to quit and reassess the position. Goals can instantly change the tempo and overall play style.