APWin Prediction

Under 4.5 Goals

Villarreal Form and Insights

Villarreal hosts Atlético Madrid at the Estadio de la Cerámica for this La Liga fixture. The match will kick off at 20:00 (UK Time) on 24/05/2026.

Their performance in the La Liga so far:

  • 21 Wins

  • 6 Draws

  • 10 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 67 goals scored

  • 1.81 average goals per match

  • 45 goals conceded

  • 1.22 average goals conceded per match

The Mattress Makers Form and Insights

Atlético Madrid has played 37 matches in the La Liga so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Villarreal:

  • 21 Wins

  • 6 Draws

  • 10 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 61 goals scored

  • 1.65 average goals per match

  • 39 goals conceded

  • 1.05 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Villarreal and Atlético Madrid on the match calendar 33 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • Villarreal Club de Fútbol, S.A.D. win - 22

  • Atlético Madrid win - 32

  • Draw - 12

Home Team

Villarreal Team Logo

Villarreal

Spain - La Liga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L D W W

1.4

Home L W W W W

2.4

Away L D D W L

1

Away Team

Atlético Madrid Team Logo

Atlético Madrid

Spain - La Liga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W L L W

1.8

Home W L D W D

1.6

Away W L W L L

1.2

Access all match stats for Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid

The last match was played on 13/09/2025 in the La Liga, and Atlético Madrid won the match. The match ended in 2–0.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

The Yellow Submarine Top Players

  • Georges Mikautadze has scored 12 goals so far this season.

  • Nicolas Pépé has given 6 assists this season.

The Mattress Makers Top Players

  • Alexander Sørloth has scored 13 goals so far this season.

  • Giuliano Simeone has given 6 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid match.

Villarreal Cards and Corners

  • 2.22 average cards per match

  • 1.78 average cards when playing at home

  • 8.94 average corners per match

  • 9.78 average corners when playing at home

Atlético Madrid Cards and Corners

  • 2.24 average cards per match

  • 2.56 average cards when playing away

  • 10.68 average corners per match

  • 9.72 average corners when playing away

Additional Betting Tips

After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.

Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.

👉 Our prediction is: over 9.5 corners

For those in need of a nice change in betting markets, let's take a good look at over/under corners. Based on our research on Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid, we expect to see both teams spend significant time deep in opposition territory given their willingness to go forward.

That is why we highly recommend taking the over 9.5 corners line at odds of 1.63 for this upcoming match.

👉 Our prediction is: Atlético Madrid win or draw

Our evaluations have shown there is not much separating Villarreal and Atlético Madrid overall. But given the extra betting edge that comes with the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to win the bet, we recommend taking Atlético Madrid to win or draw in this match.

With odds of 1.45, there is a good deal of value on Atlético Madrid to pull off a potential upset away from home against Villarreal, who have not been in the best form of late.

Match Details

  • Match date: 24/05/2026

  • Kick-off time: 20:00

  • Competition: La Liga

  • Game week: 38

  • Stadium: Estadio de la Cerámica

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

APWin Prediction

Under 4.5 Goals

Published on 23 May 2026, at 15:03 Last updated on 23 May 2026, at 23:28
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.