The kick off for the match between Toluca and Monterrey will take place at 01:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 12/07 - at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Toluca vs Monterrey. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Monterrey
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 8.5 Corners
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Toluca preview
Toluca has played 20 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. This results in an average of 2.05 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. Toluca's attack has scored 45 goals, 45 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.25 goals per league match and 2.25 goals per match across the entire season.
José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior is the team’s top scorer with 13 goals, while Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas leads the team in assists with 10. Defensively, Toluca has conceded 20 goals in the league (an average of 1) and 20 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1 over 20 matches).
Monterrey preview
In 20 Liga MX matches, Monterrey has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.85 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 11 wins in 20 matches. The team has scored 37 goals, 37 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 1.85 goals per match), with Germán Berterame being the team's top scorer with 11 goals and Lucas Ocampos providing 6 assists.
Defensively, Monterrey has conceded 31 goals in the league and 31 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.55 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs Monterrey
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D W W D |
2.05 |
| Home | D W D W W |
2.1 |
| Away | L W D D W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 2.25 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 70% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 10% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.8 | 2.03 | 1.52 |
|
xGA
|
1.12 | 1.19 | 1.02 |
Monterrey
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W L D |
1.85 |
| Home | W W D W D |
2.4 |
| Away | L L L D L |
1.3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55% | 70% | 40% |
| Goals | 3.4 | 3 | 3.8 |
| Scored | 1.85 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.55 | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 70% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.52 | 1.49 |
|
xGA
|
1.38 | 1.3 | 1.48 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Monterrey
Where to watch Toluca vs Monterrey live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Monterrey below and follow the match in real time.
Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.