Progreso and Nacional face each other in an official match of the 2026 Primera División season. The game takes place at Parque Abraham Paladino on Saturday, 21/02/2026, at 23:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Progreso vs Nacional, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Progreso vs Nacional

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Progreso win or draw

Our top betting tip is Progreso to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Progreso, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.

We simply don't see Progreso losing to Nacional. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Progreso's ability to make home advantage count in this match.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

Defensive solidity should prove to be a major factor in this matchup. Both teams' backlines are rock solid, so scoring chances will be hard to come by.

As such, there is decent value to be had in betting 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market.

Progreso preview

Progreso comes into the match having played 2 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 0 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses.

Progreso's attack has scored 0 goals during this period. Out of this total, 0 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 0 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.

The offence system of Progreso is led by Sebastián Cardozo Coitinho as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan defender has scored 0 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Sebastián Cardozo Coitinho, who has contributed with 0 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 2.5 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 5 goals conceded in 2 matches, resulting in an average of 2.5.

Nacional preview

On the other hand, Nacional comes into the match having played 2 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses.

Nacional's attack has scored 3 goals during this period. Out of this total, 3 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 1.5 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.5.

The offence system of Nacional is led by Maxi Gómez as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 2 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 2 goals with an average of 1 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 2 goals conceded in 2 matches, resulting in an average of 1.

Head to head: Progreso vs Nacional

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Progreso Team Logo

Progreso

Uruguay - Primera División

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L

0

Home L

0

Away L

0

Away Team

Nacional Team Logo

Nacional

Uruguay - Primera División

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W

2

Home D

1

Away W

3

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Published on 20 February 2026, at 04:12 Last updated on 20 February 2026, at 04:12
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.