18.03.2023 - 21:00
Stadium : Estádio Soares de Azevedo (Muriaé, Minas Gerais)
Finished
The Brazil Mineiro 1 is back on 18th of March at 21:00 with Tombense hosting Pouso Alegre and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Tombense vs Pouso Alegre. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Tombense has had Over 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Pouso Alegre hasn’t won in its last 5 matches
🔥 The past 4 matches between Tombense and Pouso Alegre have ended with under 9.5 Corners
🔥 Tombense hasn’t lost any of its past 4 matches against Pouso Alegre
🔥 Tombense and Pouso Alegre average 2.83 goals scored per match
Tombense | Pouso Alegre | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Standings | 3 |
| 1.78 | Goal Scored | 1 |
| 1.56 | Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 89% | % Over 2.5 | 33% |
| 78% | % BTTS | 56% |
| 0.98 | xG | 1.67 |
| 1.71 | xGA | 1.56 |
Tombense | Pouso Alegre | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Standings | 5 |
| 2.25 | Goal Scored | 0.5 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 89% | % Over 2.5 | 33% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 25% |
| 1.02 | xG | 1.45 |
| 1.73 | xGA | 1.65 |
Tombense averages 1.78 goals scored per match in this season’s Mineiro 1. The home team has scored 16 times in the 9 matches played so far this year for this competition. Tombense is, as such, the 2nd best attack in this season of the Mineiro 1.
The 10th best attack of the Mineiro 1 has scored 9 goals in 9 matches played so far this season. Pouso Alegre averages, as such, 1 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 9 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Tombense 14 times. This means that Tombense is the 10th best defence in this season’s Mineiro 1.
In the 9 matches it has played in the Mineiro 1, Pouso Alegre has conceded 12 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.33 goals per match, making it the 5th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Tombense has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 89% of the matches it played so far in the Mineiro 1 this season.
Pouso Alegre has, until today, finished 33% of the matches of this season’s Mineiro 1 with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 3 matches out of 9, compared with the league average of 49%.
Out of the 9 matches that Tombense has taken part in this season, 7 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Pouso Alegre, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 5.04 occasions out of the 9 times it played for the Mineiro 1 this season.
We mentioned earlier that Tombense averages 1.78 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 0.98 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Pouso Alegre is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.67 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.71 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.56 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Pouso Alegre wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Tombense vs Pouso Alegre.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Tombense vs Pouso Alegre, for the matchday 10 of the Mineiro 1.
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