Predictions for Tijuana vs Toluca

Tijuana vs Toluca Betting Tips: 18/03/2023 - Matchday 12 - Mexico Liga MX

Tijuana vs Toluca happens on the 18th of March at 03:05 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Mexico Liga MX. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Tijuana vs Toluca. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!

🔥 Tijuana has had Over 1.5 HT Goals in its last 3 matches

🔥 The past 3 matches between Tijuana and Toluca have ended with over 9.5 Corners

🔥 Tijuana has conceded at least a goal in its last 6 matches against Toluca

🔥 Tijuana and Toluca average 2.4 goals scored per match

Tijuana		Toluca
13	Standings	2
1.04	Goal Scored	1.77
1.57	Goals Conceded	1.31
43%	% Over 2.5	63%
57%	% BTTS	71%
1.48	xG	1.7
1.65	xGA	1.73

Tijuana		Toluca
12	Standings	5
1.07	Goal Scored	1.41
1.14	Goals Conceded	1.18
43%	% Over 2.5	63%
43%	% BTTS	65%
1.65	xG	1.53
1.46	xGA	1.73

Tijuana - Previous Results

Overall
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Toluca - Previous Results

Overall
Away

Summary

Goal Scored

The home team is the 14th best attack in the Liga MX. Tijuana has found the back of the opposition’s net 29 times in the 28 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.04 goals scored per match.

Only time will tell, but so far, Toluca has averaged 1.77 goals scored per match in this season of the Liga MX. The team has gotten 62 goals in 35 matches so far this season, making it the 4th best attacking team in this competition.

Goals Conceded

Averaging 1.57 goals conceded per match, Tijuana has conceded 44 times in the 28 matches played so far this season of the Liga MX. This makes this match’s home team the 12th defence in the competition.

With 46 goals conceded in the 35 matches it played in the Liga MX, Toluca is the 7th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.31 goals conceded per match.

% Over 2.5

In the 28 matches it played this season, Tijuana has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 43% of the times, so 12 of those matches.

The Liga MX averages 54% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Toluca visits Tijuana having finished 63% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 57% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Tijuana?

If we look at Toluca’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 71% of them have ended with a BTTS.

Expected Goals (xG)

It is no question that Tijuana’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.48 expected goals per match in the Liga MX.

Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.7 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Tijuana gets to this event with 1.65 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.

Toluca is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.31 goals conceded on average, against 1.73 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?

Predictions

If you are looking for the prediction for Tijuana vs Toluca, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.

APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Liga MX and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.

As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Tijuana vs Toluca, for the matchday 12 of the Liga MX, taking place on the 18th of March at 03:05.