18.02.2023 - 15:30
Stadium : Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)
Finished
The Portugal LigaPro is back on 18th of February at 15:30 with Porto II hosting Estrela Amadora and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Porto II vs Estrela Amadora. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Porto II has had Over 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Porto II has conceded at least a goal in its last 6 matches
🔥 Porto II hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Estrela Amadora
🔥 Estrela Amadora hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Porto II
🔥 Porto II and Estrela Amadora average 2 goals scored per match
Porto II | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Standings | 2 |
| 1.3 | Goal Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.1 | Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 55% |
| 45% | % BTTS | 75% |
| 1.79 | xG | 1.52 |
| 1.41 | xGA | 1.63 |
Porto II | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 6 |
| 1.11 | Goal Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.56 | Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 55% |
| 22% | % BTTS | 67% |
| 1.96 | xG | 1.36 |
| 1.24 | xGA | 1.82 |
Porto II averages 1.3 goals scored per match in this season’s LigaPro. The home team has scored 26 times in the 20 matches played so far this year for this competition. Porto II is, as such, the 11th best attack in this season of the LigaPro.
The 4th best attack of the LigaPro has scored 33 goals in 20 matches played so far this season. Estrela Amadora averages, as such, 1.65 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 20 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Porto II 22 times. This means that Porto II is the 5th best defence in this season’s LigaPro.
In the 20 matches it has played in the LigaPro, Estrela Amadora has conceded 20 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1 goals per match, making it the 3rd team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Porto II has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 50% of the matches it played so far in the LigaPro this season.
Estrela Amadora has, until today, finished 55% of the matches of this season’s LigaPro with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 11 matches out of 20, compared with the league average of 48%.
Out of the 20 matches that Porto II has taken part in this season, 9 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Estrela Amadora, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 15 occasions out of the 20 times it played for the LigaPro this season.
We mentioned earlier that Porto II averages 1.3 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.79 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Estrela Amadora is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.52 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.41 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.63 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Estrela Amadora wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Porto II vs Estrela Amadora.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Porto II vs Estrela Amadora, for the matchday 21 of the LigaPro.
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