20.08.2022 - 22:30
Stadium : Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal
Marília vs Comercial happens on the 20th of August at 22:30 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Brazil Copa Paulista. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Marília vs Comercial. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
|67%||% Over 2.5||50%|
|67%||% Over 2.5||50%|
The home team is the 2nd best attack in the Copa Paulista. Marília has found the back of the opposition’s net 13 times in the 6 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 2.17 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Comercial has averaged 1.2 goals scored per match in this season of the Copa Paulista. The team has gotten 6 goals in 5 matches so far this season, making it the 7th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 0.67 goals conceded per match, Marília has conceded 4 times in the 6 matches played so far this season of the Copa Paulista. This makes this match’s home team the 15th defence in the competition.
With 7 goals conceded in the 5 matches it played in the Copa Paulista, Comercial is the 6th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.4 goals conceded per match.
In the 6 matches it played this season, Marília has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 67% of the times, so 4 of those matches.
The Copa Paulista averages 40% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Comercial visits Marília having finished 50% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 50% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Marília?
If we look at Comercial’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 20% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Marília’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.86 expected goals per match in the Copa Paulista.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 2.22 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Marília gets to this event with 1.54 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Comercial is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.4 goals conceded on average, against 1.7 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Marília vs Comercial, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Copa Paulista and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Marília vs Comercial, for the matchday 8 of the Copa Paulista, taking place on the 20th of August at 22:30.
Looking at that, we think that the best bet for Marília vs Comercial is Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.65.
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