25.01.2023 - 17:30
Stadium : MEWA ARENA (Mainz)
Finished
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund happens on the 25th of January at 17:30 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Germany Bundesliga. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Mainz 05 hasn’t won in its last 5 matches
🔥 Mainz 05 has conceded at least a goal in its last 5 matches
🔥 The past 7 matches between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund have ended with under 9.5 Corners
🔥 Mainz 05 has conceded at least a goal in its last 4 matches against Borussia Dortmund
🔥 Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund average 2.84 goals scored per match
Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 6 |
| 1.25 | Goal Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.56 | Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 63% |
| 56% | % BTTS | 44% |
| 1.54 | xG | 1.88 |
| 1.47 | xGA | 1.56 |
Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Standings | 11 |
| 1.14 | Goal Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.29 | Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 63% |
| 43% | % BTTS | 50% |
| 1.66 | xG | 1.92 |
| 1.12 | xGA | 1.88 |
The home team is the 15th best attack in the Bundesliga. Mainz 05 has found the back of the opposition’s net 20 times in the 15 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.25 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Borussia Dortmund has averaged 1.81 goals scored per match in this season of the Bundesliga. The team has gotten 29 goals in 15 matches so far this season, making it the 6th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1.56 goals conceded per match, Die Nullfünfer has conceded 25 times in the 15 matches played so far this season of the Bundesliga. This makes this match’s home team the 9th defence in the competition.
With 24 goals conceded in the 15 matches it played in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund is the 6th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.5 goals conceded per match.
In the 15 matches it played this season, Mainz 05 has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 50% of the times, so 8 of those matches.
The Bundesliga averages 62% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Die Borussen visits Mainz 05 having finished 63% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 56% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Karnevalsverein?
If we look at Borussia Dortmund’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 44% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Mainz 05’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.54 expected goals per match in the Bundesliga.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.88 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Mainz 05 gets to this event with 1.47 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Borussia Dortmund is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.5 goals conceded on average, against 1.56 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Bundesliga and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, for the matchday 17 of the Bundesliga, taking place on the 25th of January at 17:30.
Switch to
Would you like to change to ?
Login or Signup to add to favourites
You can login with social media
Not registered yet? Create an Account.
