08.10.2022 - 14:00
Stadium : Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Finished
The England EFL League One is back on 8th of October at 14:00 with Derby County hosting Port Vale and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Derby County vs Port Vale. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Derby County has had Under 1.5 HT Goals in its last 3 matches
🔥 Port Vale has conceded at least a goal in its last 6 matches
🔥 Derby County and Port Vale average 2.9 goals scored per match
Derby County | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 17 |
| 1.10 | Goal Scored | 0.91 |
| 0.9 | Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 80% | % Over 2.5 | 60% |
| 40% | % BTTS | 45% |
| 1.94 | xG | 1.14 |
| 1.19 | xGA | 1.3 |
Derby County | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standings | 22 |
| 1.8 | Goal Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.2 | Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 80% | % Over 2.5 | 60% |
| 80% | % BTTS | 40% |
| 1.97 | xG | 0.96 |
| 1.34 | xGA | 1.52 |
Derby County averages 1.1 goals scored per match in this season’s EFL League One. The home team has scored 11 times in the 10 matches played so far this year for this competition. Derby County is, as such, the 16th best attack in this season of the EFL League One.
The 22th best attack of the EFL League One has scored 10 goals in 11 matches played so far this season. Port Vale averages, as such, 0.91 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 10 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Derby County 9 times. This means that Derby County is the 4th best defence in this season’s EFL League One.
In the 11 matches it has played in the EFL League One, Port Vale has conceded 16 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.45 goals per match, making it the 17th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Derby County has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 80% of the matches it played so far in the EFL League One this season.
Port Vale has, until today, finished 60% of the matches of this season’s EFL League One with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 7 matches out of 11, compared with the league average of 51%.
Out of the 10 matches that Derby County has taken part in this season, 4 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Port Vale, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 4.95 occasions out of the 11 times it played for the EFL League One this season.
We mentioned earlier that Derby County averages 1.1 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.94 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Port Vale is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.14 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.19 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.3 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Port Vale wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Derby County vs Port Vale.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Derby County vs Port Vale, for the matchday 14 of the EFL League One.
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