28.05.2023 - 23:00
Stadium : Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)
Finished
The Ecuador Primera Categoría Serie A is back on 28th of May at 23:00 with CD El Nacional hosting Barcelona and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for CD El Nacional vs Barcelona. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Barcelona hasn’t lost in its last 8 matches
🔥 The past 3 matches between CD El Nacional and Barcelona have ended with under 2.5 goals
🔥 The past 3 matches between CD El Nacional and Barcelona have ended with under 1.5 HT goals
🔥 CD El Nacional and Barcelona average 3.3 goals scored per match
CD El Nacional | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Standings | 1 |
| 1.55 | Goal Scored | 2.27 |
| 1.55 | Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 55% | % Over 2.5 | 64% |
| 55% | % BTTS | 55% |
| 1.72 | xG | 1.6 |
| 1.32 | xGA | 1.22 |
CD El Nacional | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Standings | 5 |
| 2.2 | Goal Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.8 | Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 55% | % Over 2.5 | 64% |
| 80% | % BTTS | 60% |
| 1.62 | xG | 1.33 |
| 1.35 | xGA | 1.7 |
CD El Nacional averages 1.55 goals scored per match in this season’s Primera Categoria Serie A. The home team has scored 17 times in the 11 matches played so far this year for this competition. CD El Nacional is, as such, the 4th best attack in this season of the Primera Categoria Serie A.
The 1st best attack of the Primera Categoria Serie A has scored 25 goals in 11 matches played so far this season. Barcelona averages, as such, 2.27 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 11 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against CD El Nacional 17 times. This means that CD El Nacional is the 11th best defence in this season’s Primera Categoria Serie A.
In the 11 matches it has played in the Primera Categoria Serie A, Barcelona has conceded 10 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 0.91 goals per match, making it the 3rd team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? CD El Nacional has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 55% of the matches it played so far in the Primera Categoria Serie A this season.
Barcelona de Guayaquil has, until today, finished 64% of the matches of this season’s Primera Categoria Serie A with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 7 matches out of 11, compared with the league average of 55%.
Out of the 11 matches that CD El Nacional has taken part in this season, 6 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Barcelona, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 6.05 occasions out of the 11 times it played for the Primera Categoria Serie A this season.
We mentioned earlier that CD El Nacional averages 1.55 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.72 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Barcelona de Guayaquil is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.6 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.32 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.22 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Barcelona wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for CD El Nacional vs Barcelona.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for CD El Nacional vs Barcelona, for the matchday 12 of the Primera Categoria Serie A.
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