25.01.2023 - 13:30
Finished
The Italy Serie D Group D is back on 25th of January at 13:30 with Bagnolese hosting Mezzolara and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Bagnolese vs Mezzolara. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Mezzolara has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 9 matches
🔥 Mezzolara hasn’t won in its last 4 matches
🔥 The past 4 matches between Bagnolese and Mezzolara have ended with under 2.5 goals
🔥 Bagnolese and Mezzolara average 2.39 goals scored per match
Bagnolese | Mezzolara | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Standings | 10 |
| 0.77 | Goal Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.45 | Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 41% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 45% | % BTTS | 64% |
| 0.84 | xG | 1.32 |
| 1.73 | xGA | 1.22 |
Bagnolese | Mezzolara | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Standings | 15 |
| 0.82 | Goal Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.73 | Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 41% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 55% | % BTTS | 80% |
| 0.86 | xG | 1.39 |
| 1.55 | xGA | 1.31 |
Bagnolese averages 0.77 goals scored per match in this season’s Serie D Group D. The home team has scored 17 times in the 19 matches played so far this year for this competition. Bagnolese is, as such, the 19th best attack in this season of the Serie D Group D.
The 15th best attack of the Serie D Group D has scored 28 goals in 19 matches played so far this season. Mezzolara averages, as such, 1.27 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 19 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Bagnolese 32 times. This means that Bagnolese is the 11th best defence in this season’s Serie D Group D.
In the 19 matches it has played in the Serie D Group D, Mezzolara has conceded 28 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.27 goals per match, making it the 6th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Bagnolese has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 41% of the matches it played so far in the Serie D Group D this season.
Mezzolara has, until today, finished 50% of the matches of this season’s Serie D Group D with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 10 matches out of 19, compared with the league average of 53%.
Out of the 19 matches that Bagnolese has taken part in this season, 9 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Mezzolara, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 12.16 occasions out of the 19 times it played for the Serie D Group D this season.
We mentioned earlier that Bagnolese averages 0.77 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 0.84 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Mezzolara is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.32 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.73 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.22 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Mezzolara wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Bagnolese vs Mezzolara.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Bagnolese vs Mezzolara, for the matchday 23 of the Serie D Group D.
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