Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio | Prediction | Serie A

Vasco da Gama and Grêmio face each other on Saturday 07.19.2025, at 21:30 (UK Time), in a Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Vasco da Gama's home ground, the São Januário.

The APWin team has prepared a detailed analysis for this match, highlighting the most promising predictions, attractive odds, and betting markets with strong potential for returns.

APWin Predictions for Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio

According to APWin's sports betting experts, there could be up to three promising betting markets for the Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio match.

In addition to the main betting tip, our team also found alternative betting tips for the Birghton vs Liverpool match.

👉 Our prediction is: Vasco da Gama win or draw

Our top betting tip is Vasco da Gama to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Vasco da Gama, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.

We simply don't see Vasco da Gama losing to Grêmio. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Vasco da Gama's ability to make home advantage count in this match.

Vasco da Gama's Information for the Match

Vasco da Gama heads into the match with the following record in the Serie A: in 13 matches, Vasco secured 4 victories, 1 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Vasco da Gama's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 12 victories so far.

Vasco da Gama has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 44 goals, of which 14 were scored in the Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.08 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Pablo Ezequiel Vegetti Pfaffen, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Paulo Henrique de Oliveira Alves has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Vasco da Gama has conceded 18 goals in the Serie A (an average of 1.38 per game) and 44 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.19 per match in the 2025 campaign.

Vasco da Gama's Latest Results

Vasco da Gama

Corinthians

Juventude

Vasco da Gama

Santos

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Atlético MG

Mirassol

Vasco da Gama

Grêmio's Information for the Match

Grêmio comes into the game with 13 matches played so far in the Serie A. They have secured 4 victories, 4 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.23 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses.

Grêmio FBPA's attack has been highly effective, scoring 49 goals during this period. Of that total, 13 were netted in the Serie A, with an average of 1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.44.

Grêmio FBPA's offensive system is led by Martin Braithwaite, the team's top scorer this season. The danish forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Edenilson. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 19 goals with an average of 1.46 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 38 goals in 34 matches, averaging 1.12 per match.

Grêmio's Latest Results

Grêmio

Ceará

Atlético MG

Grêmio

Grêmio

Sport Recife

Fluminense

Grêmio

Grêmio

Fortaleza

Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio Standings

To better understand the context of this matchup, let's analyze the recent campaign of both teams Brasileirao. Below, we present a complete overview of the campaigns of both clubs so far, highlighting their performances and what this may indicate for the game.

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Flamengo	20	14	4	2	44	9	+35	46	2.30
2	Palmeiras	19	13	3	3	27	15	+12	42	2.21
3	Cruzeiro	21	12	5	4	34	15	+19	41	1.95
4	Bahia	19	10	6	3	27	17	+10	36	1.89
5	Botafogo	19	9	5	5	26	12	+14	32	1.68
6	Mirassol	19	8	8	3	30	19	+11	32	1.68
7	São Paulo	21	8	8	5	26	22	+4	32	1.52
8	RB Bragantino	21	9	3	9	26	28	-2	30	1.43
9	Fluminense	19	8	3	8	25	28	-3	27	1.42
10	Ceará	20	7	5	8	19	19	0	26	1.30
11	Corinthians	21	6	7	8	22	27	-5	25	1.19
12	Atlético MG	19	6	6	7	20	23	-3	24	1.26
13	Internacional	20	6	6	8	23	28	-5	24	1.20
14	Grêmio	20	6	6	8	19	25	-6	24	1.20
15	Santos	20	6	3	11	20	31	-11	21	1.05
16	Vasco da Gama	20	5	4	11	27	29	-2	19	0.95
17	Vitória	21	3	10	8	18	32	-14	19	0.90
18	Juventude	20	5	3	12	18	41	-23	18	0.90
19	Fortaleza	20	3	6	11	19	32	-13	15	0.75
20	Sport Recife	19	1	7	11	12	30	-18	10	0.53
View more standings Hide

Data for Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: Complete Statistics

You can base your football prediction on the detailed information of the teams' statistics below.

Vasco da Gama

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L L W	1
Home	L L W L D	1.43
Away	W L L L L	0.5

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	43%	17%
Goals	2.46	2.14	2.83
Scored	1.08	1.14	1
Conceded	1.38	1	1.83
Both Teams to Score	46%	29%	67%
Without Conceding	15%	29%	0%
Failed To Score	46%	57%	33%
1st to Score	38%	29%	50%
xG	1.55	1.54	1.55
xGA	1.54	1.65	1.4

Grêmio

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W W L	1.23
Home	D W D W D	1.71
Away	L W L D L	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	43%	17%
Goals	2.46	1.86	3.17
Scored	1	1	1
Conceded	1.46	0.86	2.17
Both Teams to Score	62%	57%	67%
Without Conceding	23%	29%	17%
Failed To Score	15%	14%	17%
1st to Score	38%	86%	50%
xG	1.44	1.35	1.54
xGA	1.71	1.66	1.76

See below all the details of the clash between Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio.

Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio Preview, Livescore and H2H

At APWin, you can also find the complete statistical analysis of the Serie A.

How to Watch Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio Live on TV and Online?

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Facts and Trends for the Clash

The bookmakers place Vasco da Gama as the favorite to win the match, with a 44% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows: