The kick off for the match between São Paulo and Fluminense will take place at 20:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 07/27 - at the MorumBIS. This clash of the 2025 Serie A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for São Paulo vs Fluminense. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning.
São Paulo vs Fluminense - APWin Predictions
The APWin experts have identified up to three betting markets for this match based on extensive analysis. Below, you'll find the favorite to win this clash and insights into alternative markets.
São Paulo – General analysis for the match
São Paulo has played 15 matches in the Serie A so far, with 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses. This results in an average of 1.07 points per match.
In the 2025 season, the team has recorded 15 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses. São Paulo's attack has scored 47 goals, 14 of them in the league, which gives an average of 0.93 goals per league match and 1.27 goals per match across the entire season.
André Oliveira Silva is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Oscar dos Santos Emboaba Júnior leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, São Paulo has conceded 18 goals in the league (an average of 1.2) and 38 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.03 over 37 matches).
Fluminense – General analysis for the match
In 14 Serie A matches, Fluminense has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.43 points per game.
In the 2025 season, the team has 23 wins in 44 matches. The team has scored 69 goals, 16 of them in the Serie A (an average of 1.14 goals per match), with Germán Cano being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Jhon Arias providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Fluminense has conceded 17 goals in the league and 36 in the 2025 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.82 goals conceded per match.
São Paulo vs Fluminense: team standings and performance
Before discussing what to expect from this clash, it’s important to understand each team’s current form. Below, check out how both teams are performing and the situation they face in the competition.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo |
20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 9 | +35 | 46 | 2.30 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 42 | 2.21 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro |
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 15 | +19 | 41 | 1.95 |
| 4 |
Bahia |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 36 | 1.89 |
| 5 |
Botafogo |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 32 | 1.68 |
| 6 |
Mirassol |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 32 | 1.68 |
| 7 |
São Paulo |
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 32 | 1.52 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino |
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 30 | 1.43 |
| 9 |
Fluminense |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 | 1.42 |
| 10 |
Ceará |
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | 1.30 |
| 11 |
Corinthians |
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 | 1.19 |
| 12 |
Atlético MG |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 24 | 1.26 |
| 13 |
Internacional |
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 | 1.20 |
| 14 |
Grêmio |
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 | 1.20 |
| 15 |
Santos |
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 21 | 1.05 |
| 16 |
Vasco da Gama |
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 | 0.95 |
| 17 |
Vitória |
21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 19 | 0.90 |
| 18 |
Juventude |
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 18 | 0.90 |
| 19 |
Fortaleza |
20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 15 | 0.75 |
| 20 |
Sport Recife |
19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 | 0.53 |
| View more standings Hide | ||||||||||
Updated Comparison: São Paulo vs Fluminense
Check out the most relevant team stats to build your prediction with more confidence.
Home Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D L L |
1.19 |
| Home | W L L W D |
1.5 |
| Away | W D L L L |
0.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 38% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.06 | 2 | 2.13 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1 | 0.88 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 1 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 38% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.4 | 1.47 | 1.34 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.27 | 1.82 |
Away Team
Fluminense
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W W |
1.43 |
| Home | L L W W D |
1.86 |
| Away | L W D L L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.43 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.29 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 71% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 57% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.58 | 2 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.28 | 1.17 | 1.39 |
Just below, you’ll find all the statistics for São Paulo and Fluminense.
São Paulo vs Fluminense Preview, Livescore and H2H
And don’t forget to explore all the Serie A stats available on APWin.
Guide on where to watch the match live
If you're wondering where to watch the match, don’t worry — below we list all the available options.
If you want even more alternatives, explore all the ways to follow the Serie A across different channels and platforms.
Trends and interesting facts about the clubs
The bookmakers list São Paulo as the favorite to win the match, with an 41% chance of victory. During our analysis, the average odds were as follows:
São Paulo - 2.43.
Draw - 3.61.
Fluminense - 3.6.
The last match between the teams took place on 01/09/2024, in the Serie A, and Fluminense won the match. The final score was 2-0.
